Denver Gold GroupIndependent since 1989

Mining Forum Americas 2026 · Company presentation

Gold Royalty Corp.

Presented by David Garofalo, CEO and Chairman

Moderator: Eric Winmill, Director, Mining Equity Research, Scotiabank

Monday, 28 September 2026, 08:40 MDT · Bartolin: Stage 2

  • TickerNYSE-ARCA:GROY
  • Market cap$785M
  • 1-year return-9.54%
  • StageRoyalty / Streaming
  • Primary metalGold
  • Primary countryUnited States

In brief

David Garofalo of Gold Royalty presents an institutional-grade analysis of the royalty model as a superior alternative to traditional gold production, particularly during inflationary cycles. The discussion emphasizes the company's commitment to peer-leading growth, a debt-free balance sheet, and a diversified portfolio of over 260 royalties in top-tier jurisdictions like Nevada, Quebec, and Ontario. Garofalo outlines four distinct platforms for growth, highlighting the company’s ability to deliver significant cash flow expansion through established, low-construction-risk assets while maintaining upside through organic exploration optionality at no additional cost to shareholders.

Key moments

  1. Why Royalty Models Outperform Producers

    “royalty model in this point of the cycle is superior to producers.”

    The speaker argues that the royalty model offers superior investment value compared to traditional producers who are struggling with reserve constraints and production depletion.

  2. Peer Leading Growth in Mining

    “we are providing peer-leading growth in the sector.”

    The company highlights its industry-leading growth trajectory, projecting a significant increase in gold equivalent production over the coming years.

  3. Strong Corporate Balance Sheet

    “we've never been healthier from a balance sheet perspective. We're completely debt-free.”

    The management emphasizes the company's healthy financial position, noting they are currently debt-free and generating consistent free cash flow.

  4. Lowest Political Risk Jurisdictions

    “we have the lowest political risk exposure within our portfolio across the entire royalty universe”

    The portfolio is strategically weighted toward stable, low-risk mining jurisdictions in North America to mitigate sovereign risk.

  5. Institutional Capital and Gold Exposure

    “Tether has obviously made a very strong macro call of rotating into physical gold and to equity, and royalties companies in particular that offer meaningful and superior leverage to the gold price.”

    The company is attracting a new class of institutional investors seeking rotation into physical gold and royalty equities for superior price leverage.

  6. Infinite Rates of Return

    “So zero entry cost, infinite rates of return.”

    The royalty generator model creates optionality by staking exploration claims that require no initial capital outlay, offering high return potential.

Portrait of David Garofalo

Presenter

David Garofalo

CEO and Chairman, Gold Royalty Corp.

Mr. Garofalo has served as Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the board of directors of the Company since August 2020. Mr. Garofalo has worked in various leadership capacities in the natural resources sector over four decades. Prior to co-founding Gold Royalty Corp., he served as President, Chief Executive Officer and a director of Goldcorp Inc., one of the largest gold mining companies in the world, where he led its merger with Newmont Corporation in 2019. Prior to that, he served as President, Chief Executive Officer and a director of Hudbay Minerals Inc. from 2010 to 2015, where he presided over that company’s emergence as a leading metals producer. Previously, he served as Senior Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer and a director of Agnico-Eagle Limited from 1998 to 2010 and as treasurer and other various finance roles with Inmet Mining Corporation from 1990 to 1998. He was named Mining Person of the Year by The Northern Miner in 2012 and Canada’s Chief Financial Officer of the Year by Financial Executives International Canada in 2009. He holds a Bachelor of Commerce from the University of Toronto and is a Fellow of the Chartered Professional Accountants in Canada and a Certified Director of the Institute of Corporate Directors. Mr Garofalo's charitable roles include Chair of the board of directors of the Vancouver Symphony Orchestra and member of the boards of Vancouver Symphony Foundation and the Arts Umbrella Foundation.

About Gold Royalty Corp.

Gold Royalty Corp. is a gold-focused royalty company offering creative financing solutions to the metals and mining industry. Its mission is to invest in high-quality, sustainable, and responsible mining operations to build a diversified portfolio of precious metals royalty and streaming interests that generate superior long-term returns for our shareholders. Gold Royalty's diversified portfolio currently consists primarily of net smelter return royalties on gold properties located in the Americas.

Transcript3300 words, automatically generated

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Are a little bit talking about the macro environment we find ourselves in, and quite often as we see more generalist investors come into the space, where to from here for gold? And we have seen interest rates start to increase, particularly long-dated Treasuries, but I would argue that's really a symptom of underlying increasing inflation, which is actually infecting the supply chains for many of the operating companies. So I do think it bears repeating that the royalty model in this point of the cycle is superior to producers. Producers are of course facing significant reserve constraints. They're cannibalizing each other to replace depleting production levels. And so they're not really providing leverage proposition that investors are looking for because their share count is increasing while their production and reserve profiles are effectively static.

And the other thing that we're seeing is, of course, significant cost pressure, particularly in the last several months when we've seen a big increase in oil prices, which has infected the supply chain really across all inputs within operating companies and at the mine site. But also on a lagging basis, given that we've seen record metal prices across the entire metals complex, not just in gold, but we're seeing in copper and other metals, we're going to see a lagging impact on labor costs, and we're seeing much more strike action in terms of the collective bargaining process in a lot of operations, whether it's base metal or precious metal. Inevitably, that will lead to cost inflation. So when you look at costs at the mine site, the majority of costs are coming from labor and energy. And of course, we've seen significant inflation in energy costs in the last several months, and that, coupled with cost inflation, which labor will deliver over the coming year or two, will result in significant cost inflation and erosion in the multiple and margin expansion that you're looking for from operating companies. So they're not going to be providing the leverage proposition that investors are looking for as gold prices increase over the next little while.

And gold prices will continue to increase because as I said, the underlying factors that are driving the gold price higher, which is the debasement of fiat currencies, is not going away. As I said, real interest rates are effectively flat or declining, because even though nominal rates are going up, inflation is accelerating at an increasing rate, and that will continue to drive capital into the sector. And clearly fiat currencies are being debased. We're seeing money supply continue to increase on an exponential basis, and that's really been the value proposition from gold over the last several years that's driven it to its all-time highs. And I think really the question you have to ask yourself when you're investing in the gold sector as a generalist is where are you going to get optimum leverage to the gold price and leverage the exploration success of the underlying operators in which we own royalties. That's provided in the royalty model in which we think is going to really deliver outsized returns in a rising gold price environment with significant underlying inflation in the sector.

So where does Gold Royalty fit in that type of context? We are providing peer-leading growth in the sector. Fivefold increase, or excuse me, sixfold increase or about a 500% increase over the next four years in our underlying gold equivalent production for masses that are effectively built and ramping up. So very low construction risk. And we have over 260 royalties. Certainly, we have a lot of early-stage optionality with 10 royalties that are already cash flowing, and by the end of the decade, 20 within our portfolio delivering that cash flow in gold equivalent production growth. We are providing low risk and low risk jurisdictions growth within the sector with unmitigated leverage of the gold price because all of our royalties are completely bought and paid for. We don't have to put another dime into them to deliver that peer-leading growth, which I'll get into in a little bit more detail over the course of the presentation.

The other thing that I would point out is we've never been healthier from a balance sheet perspective. We're completely debt-free. We are and have been generating free cash flow for the last two years, and that cash flow will increase exponentially over the next several years as we deliver that peer-leading growth. And with a $150 million line of credit available, completely available, $50 million of cash on the balance sheet on a pro forma basis with our in-the-money warrants, which will be maturing over the coming months. We have about $200 million of dry powder to continue to invest in new growth opportunities, which will deliver accretion on a cash flow per share basis because we don't have to go back to the equity markets to do acquisitions given the scale of our balance sheet currently.

Now this gives you a historical perspective of how we've grown out the portfolio, and it's important to point out that we do have multiple platforms for growth. We've gone from a standing start a little over five years ago, no revenue, 18 royalties, almost exclusively on the portfolio of our former parent company, Gold Mining Inc. And through a succession of acquisitions, roll-ups over the course of 2021 of three of our peers that delivered 150 additional royalties and vastly diversified our portfolio. We've been systematically using the treasury from our IPO to pick up individual royalty acquisitions that deliver cash flow per share accretion in the immediate term to supplement the significant optionality and growth we already had embedded in our portfolio. Today, we stand at over 260 royalties, and again, all of those royalties are completely bought and paid for. We have no capital calls. We have no installment payments. We have no step downs. We really have unmitigated growth in our portfolio over the next several years.

And again, really what's delivered that growth is the fact that we have diversity in terms of how we grow. We have four distinct platforms of growth. And clearly when we have the multiple to do so, we use the arbitrage available to us back in 2021 to vastly diverse our portfolio through the roll-up of three of our peer companies. So we used M&A when we had the currency to do so. We haven't had the currency since then. And so as a result, we've been extremely disciplined and focused on cash flowing and near cash flowing royalties that we could use our treasury on to deliver cash flow and net asset value per share accretion in the short term. So we are disciplined in terms of focusing on distinct aspects of our platforms for growth to deliver growth when we have the ability to do so. In the last several years, we've been focusing on individual royalty acquisitions, third-party royalty acquisitions, and also done some project financing as we did with Oro Minerals’ Borborema mine quite successfully to deliver significant cash flow growth in the short term.

So having those four distinct platforms for growth has been very important. But the other element of it is, yes, we are doing early-stage royalty acquisitions, but we're doing it at no cost to our shareholders ’cause we have a royalty generator model where we stake exploration claims around existing mines and deposits. We farm those properties out to our neighbors, take royalties back in return at no entry cost for our shareholders. So the prospect for infinite rates of return is really what those early-stage options deliver, recognizing that they have a low success ratio, which is why we don't wanna expense precious treasury in order to add those early-stage royalties into the portfolio.

Where that leaves us today in terms of our portfolio in terms of metal exposure, it's over 90% gold in terms of the net asset value of our underlying portfolio. But interestingly, in the short term, because of the Varis acquisition, Pedra Branca, and the Kozamin royalties, about 30% of our revenue in the short term is actually coming from copper, which is obviously experiencing all-time highs. So we have significant leverage to the copper price in the next couple of years while we're waiting for some of our significant royalties on the gold side to kick in significant growth over the next several years. Namely from Odyssey, the underground extension of Canadian Malartic, Ren, the underground extension of Gold Strike, and Côté, which is now ramping up to expanded production over the course of the next several years.

The other thing I would point out is we have the lowest political risk exposure within our portfolio across the entire royalty universe, with over 80% of our royalty portfolio by number and value focused on Nevada, Quebec, and Ontario, which perennially is rated among the five best jurisdictions in which to operate for mineral potential, low political risk, and low regulatory risk by the Fraser Institute in Canada.

Again, peer-leading growth, certainly up among the leaders this year, over 60% growth in gold equivalent ounces this year alone. Just in the first half of this year, we saw a doubling of our revenue in the first six months relative to where we were last year. So that growth is happening in real time. We are in escape velocity right now. We are generating strong free cash flow. That treasury balance is growing quarter in, quarter out from this portfolio that we've been meaningfully investing in over the last several years. We are getting that significant return on that capital investment that we've made systematically since our inception in 2021.

What that means over the next several years is 500% growth in gold equivalent ounces. That's a sixfold increase in our gold equivalent production over the next several years from some of the biggest mines within North America. And I would hasten to add that growth is coming from assets that are effectively built out. 70% of our growth is coming from assets that are already constructed. Another 20% of that growth is coming from satellite deposits to existing mines. So in other words, the infrastructure's already in place, and those satellite deposits are systematically being incorporated into the mine plan of those mines. And so that's delivering that sixfold or 500% growth in gold equivalent ounces over the next little while. So very, very low risk from many of the best capitalized operators in the sector.

When you look at our gold equivalent ounces on a consensus basis, not that different than what we had in terms of our internal estimates and the guidance we provided on a one-year and five-year basis. And you can see that by the end of the decade, we're approaching 30,000 gold equivalent ounces of production. When you layer on various gold price assumptions on top of that, you're looking at at least $150 million of revenue by the end of the decade against $7 million to $8 million at cash G&A. A very scalable business, which means that we're gonna be generating sustainably over $100 million of free after-tax cash flow per annum by the end of the decade from an existing portfolio that's completely bought and paid for.

And that portfolio is not underpinned by a collection of small-scale assets. We have royalties on three of the five biggest producing gold mines in North America, namely Canadian Malartic in the underground extension, Odyssey in particular, the underground extension of Gold Strike, Ren, which is coming into production in the next several months, and also Côté, which is one of Canada's biggest producing gold mines.

And we've seen some significant ownership shifts in some of our existing mature portfolio of royalties, which has allowed those operations to be recapitalized, extended in mine life, namely Discovery Silver taking over the assets in Porcupine Districts from Newmont, where we have a royalty on the Borden satellite deposit, which has been in production for about half a dozen years. And we've seen Discovery meaningfully invest in brownfield exploration and expansion opportunities at that asset in particular, with Adriatic Metals selling to DPM the Varis operation, and that's ramping up meaningfully. And DPM is looking for opportunities for expansion as well and extension of what's already an 18-year mine life on a meaningful copper stream that we have in that operation in Bosnia. And Pedro Branco recently changed ownership from BHP to Corex, and again, a recurring theme, Corex is investing meaningfully in the capital infrastructure in that mine and brownfield expansion as they invested over half a billion dollars in the acquisition of that opportunity. And that means that we're going to see a recapitalized mine delivering that optionality to our portfolio at no cost to us. Again, all of our royalties are bought and paid for. We don't have to contribute to any of these expansions or exploration that's being conducted on these underlying assets.

When you look at our pipeline, it's immense, and this does not capture all 260 royalties. This captures a small subset of them. But as you can see, we have about 10 cash flowing royalties, another 10 that are in various stages of construction and development. But most of that construction development is behind us. These are assets in ramp up. And so you're gonna see effectively a doubling of our cash flow royalties over the next several years underpinning that sixfold increase in our gold equivalent ounces.

But we have meaningful optionality in the portfolio. Early stage opportunities, virtually all of which we generated organically at no cost to our shareholders. Again, we generate these royalties through our royalty generator model. A full third of our royalty portfolio were generated organically at no cost to our shareholders. That provides significant optionality. And a great way to quantify that optionality is how much exploration activity is occurring at the mine site. Those mines are actually investing about $200 million per annum in exploration, at least 500,000 to 600,000 meters of diamond drilling each and every year. We're contributing absolutely nothing to those exploration budgets. We're getting the full benefit of the exploration success of our underlying operators. And I think that's a meaningful opportunity for our shareholders to capture exploration optionality at no cost, no dilution to our shareholders, which I think is an important element of any royalty story. It's certainly not unique. That's the royalty model. But what we try to do in this presentation is quantify what that means in terms of dollars spent and meters drilled on these properties.

You saw Brett very capably explain the multiple disparity in the space and I think these numbers are by and large in line. These are consensus estimates of pricing that asset value. And certainly at the high end of the food chain, what that tells you is that critical mass does matter. Having that critical mass means they could sustainably get multiples on a P to NAV basis of between two to three times. That allows them to perpetuate their business because the arbitrage is available to them. But when you look at the smaller end of the food chain, what it does tell you is multiples are afforded, much higher multiples are afforded to companies that have meaningful cash flow in the short term.

Where we're at that point now, where we've inflected last year into positive free cash flows, we think the re-rate potential is immense. We're creating critical mass organically from the existing portfolio. We're going from about 7,000, 8,000 gold equivalent ounces of production this year to 30,000 gold equivalent ounces in the next several years from some of the largest producing gold mines in North America that are already well capitalized, well financed, and really ramping up to full production over the next several years. So we do believe the re-rate potential within our portfolio is immense without having to put any more capital to work. But again, with the balance sheet that we have, no debt on the balance sheet, a $150 million line of credit, $50 million of cash on a pro forma basis, including the in-the-money warrants. We certainly have a lot of capital to focus on new royalty opportunities that add accretion to cash flow per share in the short term with no risk of dilution to our shareholders, as we now are meaningfully into free cash flow over the next several years, only growing exponentially from the existing portfolio of royalties.

The portfolio of companies or investors has certainly transformed over the last several years, much like Metalla. As Brett said, we've gone from a largely retail-driven story in our IPO to one that's well owned institutionally. Tether's become a meaningful shareholder, as it has for a number of peers within our space. And I welcome that because generalist type of capital is really important in terms of driving multiple expansions in the sector. And we see Tether as a proxy for the generalists. The type of investors that invest in the stable coin universe are not traditional gold investors. So we are capturing a new class of investors, a younger demographic that historically really hasn't looked at gold, and Tether has obviously made a very strong macro call of rotating into physical gold and to equity, and royalties companies in particular that offer meaningful and superior leverage to the gold price. Well covered on the south side, with about seven analysts covering us with an average target price over $5 per share.

But again, just to emphasize what we've been able to build over the last five years, tier one assets in tier one jurisdictions with meaningful growth, sixfold growth in our gold equivalent ounces from the existing portfolio that's largely built out. 90% of it is effectively built or satellite deposits within brownfield and well-capitalized industrial infrastructure to deliver what we said is peer-leading growth over the next five years from the existing portfolio. So with that, Eric, I'll maybe leave a couple of moments for questions.

Excellent. Thank you very much, David. I really appreciate that. Excellent update too. Do we have any questions from the audience? Maybe just a question from my side, David. In terms of the portfolio, obviously, lots of great assets run by skilled operators. What asset or maybe assets do you think maybe the investors don't fully appreciate the potential for upside there?

Well, I'll give you an example of the potential rate of return growth that we could deliver from our royalty generator model. And I would say, for example, Tonopah West, which is owned by BlackRock Silver, we actually staked that property back in 2021 at no cost to our shareholders. We sold it to BlackRock Silver back in 2024 for about a million and a half dollars in cash and a 3% NSR on the property. It has the potential to be in production by the end of the decade. So zero entry cost, infinite rates of return. And I can tell you that our vast pipeline of early-stage royalty opportunities deliver that type of infinite rate of return potential, and there's no holding costs associated with any of them. So we can afford to wait, be patient, and wait for those projects to be brought into production. But you're correct. Those are the opportunities that really are not recognized, not afforded any value in the marketplace, but have the potential to deliver outsized returns in a very short period of time, particularly in the hands of some skilled operators with well-capitalized balance sheets.

All right. Fantastic. I think we're out of time for now, but really appreciate the update and thank you very much for your presentation. Thank you. [applause]

Recorded at Mining Forum Americas 2026, The Broadmoor, Colorado Springs. Prepared for information only; it is not investment advice or a recommendation. Statements are those of the presenting company as at the date of the presentation. Market figures in US dollars, not as at the date of the forum.